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See How All 50 States Are Reopening (and Closing Again)
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All 50 states had begun to reopen in some way after the coronavirus thrust the country into lockdown starting in March. Now, a growing number of states are pausing plans to reopen , amid rising case counts. Several are reimposing restrictions they had lifted earlier — for example, on bars and restaurant dining in many places. There were already substantial variations in how states were deciding to open up, with some forging far ahead of others.
These maps show where several major sectors have reopened. Many governors are mandating the wearing of masks in public places. The New York Times is tracking when broad reopenings are allowed, as well as when reopening plans are paused or reversed. States may shift categories as conditions change, or to account for changes in the national landscape. Even as governors lift orders and allow reopenings, stricter local orders may remain in place. Some states have moved to close certain sectors statewide or in certain counties after seeing a surge in cases.
Several states have reopened some sectors, but paused or delayed plans to reopen further after seeing a rise in coronavirus cases.
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Models developed using the data provided in the planning scenario tables can help evaluate the potential effects of different community mitigation strategies e. The planning scenarios may also be useful to hospital administrators in assessing resource needs and can be used in conjunction with the COVIDSurge Tool. Each scenario is based on a set of numerical values for biological and epidemiological characteristics of COVID This document was first posted on May 20, with the understanding that the parameter values in each scenario would be updated and augmented over time, as we learn more about the epidemiology of COVID Future updates may incorporate new information from serosurvey studies which provide data on the total number of people infected in addition to reported symptomatic cases.
To date, these data suggest that there may be fewer unreported infections than what was assumed in the May 20 estimates, which incorporated estimates of under-reporting derived from a variety of sources, including data on the incidence of COVID-like-illness, care-seeking behaviors, testing practices in inpatient and outpatient settings, and estimates of test sensitivity. For example, estimates of case fatality ratios must account for numerous biases, including high numbers of asymptomatic cases, under-reporting of symptomatic cases, under-reporting of COVID associated deaths, and the delay between case reporting and death reporting.
There is also likely regional variability in testing practices, reported incidence, and outcomes of interest, further confounding estimates. In this update, we have replaced the Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio and the Symptomatic Case Hospitalization Ratio with the Infection Fatality Ratio IFR , which takes into account both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases and may therefore be a more directly measurable parameter for disease severity.
Many uncertainties remain. For example, current estimates of Infection Fatality Ratios do not account for time-varying changes in hospital capacity e. A nursing home, for example, may have a high incidence of infection due to close contacts among many individuals and severe disease due to a high rate of underlying conditions that does not reflect the frequency or severity of disease in the broader population of older adults.
In addition, the practices for testing nursing home residents for COVID upon identification of a positive resident may be different than testing practices for contacts of confirmed cases in the community.
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The next Dutch general election to elect the members of the House of Representatives is scheduled for 17 March , but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called. The Third Rutte cabinet was inaugurated after the longest coalition formation in Dutch history, with days between the election and swearing in of the cabinet.
The coalition held a narrow majority in both legislative chambers at the time of the cabinet’s inauguration, with 76 of seats in the House of Representatives and 38 of 75 seats in the Senate.
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Updated Nov. We’ll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20, times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome. Sign up. Here’s a map of the country, with each state sized by its number of electoral votes and shaded by the leading candidate’s chance of winning it.
A candidate needs at least electoral votes to clinch the White House. In each of our simulations, we forecast the states and note the number of electoral votes each candidate wins. That gives us a distribution for each candidate, where the tallest bar is the outcome that occurred most frequently.